BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI) Hits New 12-Month Low – Time to Sell?

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BBAI) hit a new 52-week low on Friday. The company traded as low as $2.34 and last traded at $2.4210, with a volume of 24,926,340 shares. The stock had previously closed at $2.51.

Key BigBear.ai News

Here are the key news stories impacting BigBear.ai this week:

• Positive Sentiment: BigBear.ai’s potential growth drivers include rising demand for defense and national-security AI, an expanding backlog and acquisitions that could strengthen its position heading into 2027. The company also has substantial cash and growing government-contract opportunities. Can BigBear.ai Build Stronger Growth Heading Into 2027?
• Positive Sentiment: High short interest—reported at roughly 31%—and oversold technical conditions could amplify any positive catalyst, such as stronger bookings, improving margins or evidence that the company is moving toward profitability. BigBear.ai Is Heavily Shorted—and Its Fundamentals Are Starting to Change
• Neutral Sentiment: BigBear.ai will release its third-quarter 2026 results on October 27 after the market closes and hold an earnings call shortly afterward. The announcement itself provides a near-term event for investors, but the stock’s next major move will likely depend on revenue, backlog, margins and forward guidance. BigBear.ai to Report Third Quarter 2026 Results on October 27, 2026
• Negative Sentiment: Reports highlight widening losses and intense competition, raising concerns about whether growth initiatives can translate into sustainable profits. Those concerns have contributed to the shares’ decline and their move toward a new 52-week low. BigBear.ai Sets New 52-Week Low – Here’s Why
• Negative Sentiment: BigBear.ai recently declined more sharply than the broader market, reinforcing weak momentum as the stock trades below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages. BigBear.ai Holdings Suffers a Larger Drop Than the General Market

Wall Street Analyst Weigh In

A number of analysts have recently issued reports on the company. Wall Street Zen downgraded BigBear.ai from a “hold” rating to a “sell” rating in a research report on Saturday, August 1st. Weiss Ratings restated a “sell (d-)” rating on shares of BigBear.ai in a research report on Friday, July 17th. Finally, Cantor Fitzgerald lowered their target price on shares of BigBear.ai from $5.00 to $4.00 and set a “neutral” rating on the stock in a research note on Friday, July 31st. One research analyst has rated the stock with a Buy rating, one has assigned a Hold rating and one has issued a Sell rating to the company. According to MarketBeat.com, BigBear.ai currently has a consensus rating of “Hold” and a consensus target price of $5.00.

BigBear.ai Price Performance

The firm’s 50-day moving average is $2.93 and its 200-day moving average is $3.45. The company has a market capitalization of $1.15 billion, a PE ratio of -11.39 and a beta of 3.37. The company has a quick ratio of 5.67, a current ratio of 5.67 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.01.

BigBear.ai (NYSE:BBAI) last issued its earnings results on Thursday, July 30th. The company reported ($0.05) earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter, hitting the consensus estimate of ($0.05). BigBear.ai had a negative return on equity of 13.44% and a negative net margin of 65.20%. The business had revenue of $36.75 million during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $36.37 million. During the same quarter in the prior year, the firm earned ($0.71) earnings per share. BigBear.ai’s revenue for the quarter was up 12.9% on a year-over-year basis. Equities analysts predict that BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. will post -0.22 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.

Hedge Funds Weigh In On BigBear.ai

Several institutional investors and hedge funds have recently made changes to their positions in the business. A&I Financial Services LLC bought a new stake in BigBear.ai in the second quarter worth $37,000. World Investment Advisors purchased a new stake in BigBear.ai during the fourth quarter valued at about $56,000. Krilogy Financial LLC bought a new position in shares of BigBear.ai during the first quarter valued at about $43,000. Hollencrest Capital Management bought a new position in shares of BigBear.ai during the first quarter valued at about $41,000. Finally, GTS Securities LLC purchased a new position in shares of BigBear.ai in the second quarter worth about $49,000. Institutional investors own 7.55% of the company’s stock.

About BigBear.ai

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc provides artificial intelligence, machine learning and data analytics solutions designed to help organizations make decisions in complex, data-intensive environments. The company’s capabilities include predictive analytics, computer vision, data integration, cloud-based systems and decision-support tools that help customers monitor conditions, identify risks, forecast outcomes and coordinate operations.

The company primarily serves the U.S. government, including defense, intelligence, national security, border security and transportation-related agencies.