Azul Investor Day: Airline Targets Cash Growth as Fuel Costs Bite

Azul S.A. American Depositary Shares, each representing two (2) Common Shares (NYSEAMERICAN:AZUL) used its Azul Day presentation at the New York Stock Exchange to outline a post-restructuring strategy focused on cash generation, slower growth, balance sheet repair and expansion of non-ticket revenue businesses.

John Rodgerson, Azul’s chief executive officer, said the company is entering a “new chapter” with lower leverage, broader revenue streams and new strategic investors. He said Azul exited its restructuring process at 2.4 times levered, describing that as “a great starting point.” Rodgerson also pointed to pending and existing strategic support from U.S. airline partners, saying United Airlines and American Airlines have both decided to invest in Azul, with American’s investment still pending antitrust approval.

Rodgerson said Azul is now “twice as big in terms of capacity, three times as big in terms of revenue, and 3.8x as big in EBITDA” compared with the period around its public listing, while operating with a full turn less leverage.

Azul Emphasizes Network Advantage in Brazil

Management repeatedly highlighted Azul’s differentiated domestic network. Rodgerson said Azul serves 137 cities, compared with roughly 60 for its next closest competitor, and said about 80 cities are served only by Azul. He said the airline’s breadth across Brazil gives it access to demand that competitors do not reach.

Abhi Shah, Azul’s president, said the company’s diversified fleet is central to that network strategy. He said turboprops and smaller aircraft allow Azul to serve thinner routes at low trip costs, while larger narrow-body and wide-body aircraft are used in denser markets and international routes. Shah said Azul expects to end the year with 46 Embraer E2 aircraft and that the E2 will remain the airline’s “main growth engine” until A321 aircraft arrive in 2029.

Shah said Azul is moving to a more disciplined growth model after historically growing at a double-digit rate. He said the company has shifted from an 11% compound annual growth profile to an average of 3.4% over the next five years, allowing Azul to be more selective about demand and improve resilience.

Fuel Spike Prompts Capacity Cuts

Management said higher jet fuel prices are weighing on near-term results. Antonio Garcia, Azul’s chief financial officer, said second-quarter results will be “quite modest,” citing a sharp increase in fuel costs during Brazil’s seasonally weakest period for aviation. Shah said fuel was up 80% in the second quarter and said Azul cut capacity by about five points from its original 2026 plan.

Shah said second-quarter capacity would be down roughly high single digits to about 10%, with a smaller reduction in the third quarter and a return toward flat capacity in the fourth quarter. He said the company aims to return to its exit plan by the second half of 2027.

Shah said Azul is targeting unit revenue increases of 10% to 12% year over year in each quarter as fuel recapture progresses. He said that as fuel prices normalize, the company expects pricing levels to remain elevated, supporting stronger performance in 2027 and beyond.

Diversified Revenue Streams Become Larger Focus

Azul executives said business units outside traditional passenger flying now represent a major portion of the company’s unit revenue. Shah said ancillaries, loyalty, cargo logistics, vacations, maintenance, media and charters together account for nearly 25% of unit revenues.

Rodgerson said the company’s loyalty and credit card businesses allow Azul to generate revenue from customers even when they are not flying. Shah said Azul’s loyalty program has crossed 21 million members and has 1.2 million monthly active users. He said Azul has more than 1 million credit cards in Brazil and that more than 70% of the credit card base is in higher-value Infinity or Platinum categories.

Shah also described Azul’s logistics business as more than traditional air cargo, saying it handles first-mile, middle-mile and last-mile delivery. He said Azul is Amazon’s largest air provider in Brazil and also supports logistics for companies including Samsung, Natura and Shopee. Azul plans to increase its freighter fleet from two A321 freighters to four by the end of the year and six by the end of the first quarter next year, he said.

Fabio Campos, Azul’s chief corporate officer, said Azul Conecta is increasingly developing into an independent business serving general aviation and corporate contracts. He cited a new Petrobras contract to transport workers in the Amazon region, which also supports the introduction of a 19-seat aircraft type into the Conecta fleet.

Balance Sheet and Capital Cost Targets

Garcia said his priorities as CFO include improving Azul’s credit profile, reducing the company’s cost of capital, accelerating deleveraging and strengthening cash generation. He said Azul’s corporate target is to reduce net debt to EBITDA below 1.5 times by 2029.

Garcia said the company is pursuing Brazilian government-backed credit lines that could help reduce capital costs by about 200 basis points. Campos said the Brazilian government has created longer-term structural support for airline financing, including government-backed collateral and local-currency funding.

Garcia said Azul ended the restructuring with immediate liquidity of about BRL 4.7 billion, though he said liquidity would be lower in the second quarter because of fuel pressure. He said liquidity should not be seen as an issue for Azul in coming quarters or years.

Customer Experience and AI Initiatives

Rodgerson said Azul has seen a 25-point increase in net promoter scores after Chapter 11 and is focusing on higher-value customers through services such as Azul Concierge, premium economy products and airport lounges. He said Azul’s culture and crew members remain a key differentiator.

Shah said Azul is also deploying artificial intelligence across the organization, including customer recovery, identifying passengers at risk of missed connections, improving credit card acquisition and strengthening legal defenses. Rodgerson said the goal is not to replace customer interaction but to bring Azul closer to customers by using data to identify service issues and opportunities to personalize outreach.

Rodgerson closed by calling Azul a multiyear “growth and cash generation story,” saying management’s incentives are aligned with its stated financial targets and that the company is focused on protecting the business through fuel volatility while creating long-term shareholder value.

About Azul S.A. American Depositary Shares, each representing two (2) Common Shares (NYSEAMERICAN:AZUL)

Azul SA is a Brazilian airline company that operates a broad passenger air transportation network across Brazil. The company provides scheduled passenger service, connecting major metropolitan areas as well as regional destinations through a mix of high-density and smaller-market routes.

In addition to passenger transportation, Azul offers cargo and related aviation services. Its business is built around serving domestic travel demand in Brazil, with an emphasis on expanding connectivity to cities that may be underserved by larger carriers.

Azul was founded in 2008 and has grown into one of the major airlines in Brazil.