Research Analysts Issue Forecasts for Tesla FY2026 Earnings

Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) – Analysts at Erste Group Bank decreased their FY2026 earnings per share (EPS) estimates for shares of Tesla in a research report issued on Tuesday, March 24th. Erste Group Bank analyst S. Lingnau now forecasts that the electric vehicle producer will post earnings of $1.40 per share for the year, down from their previous estimate of $1.42. The consensus estimate for Tesla’s current full-year earnings is $2.56 per share.

Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) last issued its earnings results on Wednesday, January 28th. The electric vehicle producer reported $0.50 EPS for the quarter, beating analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.45 by $0.05. Tesla had a return on equity of 4.86% and a net margin of 4.00%.The firm had revenue of $24.90 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $24.75 billion. During the same quarter in the prior year, the firm earned $0.73 earnings per share. Tesla’s revenue for the quarter was down 3.1% on a year-over-year basis.

Several other equities research analysts also recently weighed in on the company. Cantor Fitzgerald reaffirmed an “overweight” rating and set a $510.00 price target on shares of Tesla in a research report on Thursday, January 29th. Glj Research reissued a “sell” rating on shares of Tesla in a report on Thursday, March 12th. BNP Paribas Exane dropped their target price on Tesla from $313.00 to $280.00 and set an “underperform” rating on the stock in a report on Monday, March 2nd. TD Cowen lifted their price target on Tesla from $509.00 to $519.00 and gave the company a “buy” rating in a research report on Thursday, January 29th. Finally, The Goldman Sachs Group reissued a “neutral” rating and issued a $405.00 price target on shares of Tesla in a report on Thursday, January 29th. Nineteen analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, thirteen have assigned a Hold rating and nine have issued a Sell rating to the company’s stock. Based on data from MarketBeat, the stock currently has an average rating of “Hold” and an average target price of $406.84.

Tesla Stock Down 3.6%

NASDAQ:TSLA opened at $372.11 on Friday. The firm has a market capitalization of $1.40 trillion, a P/E ratio of 344.55, a PEG ratio of 11.41 and a beta of 1.89. The company’s fifty day moving average price is $409.72 and its 200-day moving average price is $427.68. Tesla has a 1-year low of $214.25 and a 1-year high of $498.83. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08, a current ratio of 2.16 and a quick ratio of 1.77.

Insider Transactions at Tesla

In related news, Director Kathleen Wilson-Thompson sold 25,731 shares of Tesla stock in a transaction dated Wednesday, February 25th. The stock was sold at an average price of $415.56, for a total value of $10,692,774.36. Following the sale, the director directly owned 19,669 shares in the company, valued at approximately $8,173,649.64. The trade was a 56.68% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a filing with the SEC, which is accessible through this hyperlink. Also, Director James R. Murdoch sold 60,000 shares of the business’s stock in a transaction that occurred on Friday, January 2nd. The stock was sold at an average price of $445.40, for a total value of $26,724,000.00. Following the sale, the director owned 577,031 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $257,009,607.40. This trade represents a 9.42% decrease in their ownership of the stock. The disclosure for this sale is available in the SEC filing. Insiders sold 87,995 shares of company stock valued at $38,315,650 over the last 90 days. Corporate insiders own 19.90% of the company’s stock.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

Several hedge funds have recently added to or reduced their stakes in the company. J. Derek Lewis & Associates Inc. purchased a new stake in shares of Tesla during the fourth quarter worth $18,466,000. Purpose Unlimited Inc. purchased a new stake in Tesla during the 4th quarter valued at about $328,776,000. Cornerstone Planning LLC purchased a new position in Tesla in the 4th quarter worth approximately $665,000. AMG Asset Management Group Inc. acquired a new position in shares of Tesla during the 4th quarter worth approximately $610,000. Finally, Forty three Eighteen Advisors LLC acquired a new stake in shares of Tesla in the fourth quarter valued at approximately $2,784,000. 66.20% of the stock is owned by institutional investors and hedge funds.

Key Stories Impacting Tesla

Here are the key news stories impacting Tesla this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Wedbush’s Daniel Ives reiterates a bullish AI/“TeraFab” narrative for Tesla, calling the company an emerging AI powerhouse — supports a longer-term growth story tied to chips, Optimus and robotics. Daniel Ives Doubles Down on Tesla Stock
• Positive Sentiment: Erste Group raised FY2027 EPS estimates modestly — a sign some sell‑side analysts still see upside from Tesla’s transition into AI/hardware investments. MarketBeat Tesla Page
• Positive Sentiment: Tesla’s tech developments (new, cheaper Supercharger, vertical semiconductor moves and comments about next‑gen AI chip “tape out”) reinforce the company’s shift toward vertically integrated AI hardware — this helps the long‑term thesis even as auto growth slows. Tesla Releases New Supercharger
• Neutral Sentiment: SpaceX IPO chatter and merger/terafab speculation remain a market narrative that can lift TSLA sentiment intermittently, but benefits are speculative and timing is unclear. SpaceX Prepares for Potential Mega IPO Filing
• Neutral Sentiment: Tesla filed a site plan for an “ecological paradise” near the Austin Gigafactory — positive for local permitting/community relations but immaterial to near‑term revenue. Tesla files site plan for ‘ecological paradise’
• Neutral Sentiment: Political noise around Elon Musk offering to pay TSA wages (White House declined) keeps headlines on Musk’s public role in the news cycle — reputational/legal questions that are watch‑items but not immediate fundamentals. White House Rejects Elon Musk Offer
• Negative Sentiment: Tesla-published delivery consensus and company comments show Q1 Q/Q softness (consensus ~365k) and management/analysts trimmed 2026 delivery guidance to ~1.69M units — the clearest near‑term catalyst for share weakness. Tesla Cuts 2026 Delivery Outlook to 1.69 Million Units
• Negative Sentiment: Analysts are cutting delivery and earnings expectations and investors are marking down near‑term auto cashflows — multiple outlets report accelerating analyst caution and estimate trims. Tesla Stock Slides as Analysts Cut Delivery Outlook
• Negative Sentiment: Competition in China is intensifying (new premium rival with strong early orders) and brand perception surveys show weakening trust — pressure on pricing, mix and unit growth in Tesla’s largest market. Tesla China Demand Faces More Pressure

About Tesla

Tesla, Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA) is an American company that designs, manufactures and sells electric vehicles, energy generation and energy storage products. Founded in 2003 by Martin Eberhard and Marc Tarpenning, Tesla grew into a vertically integrated mobility and clean‑energy company with Elon Musk serving as its chief executive officer. The company’s stated mission is to accelerate the world’s transition to sustainable energy, reflected in its combined focus on electric drivetrains, battery technology, renewable energy products and software.

Tesla’s automotive business includes a lineup of battery‑electric vehicles and related services.