Q4 EPS Forecast for Advance Auto Parts Lowered by Analyst

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE:AAP) – Research analysts at Roth Capital lowered their Q4 2025 EPS estimates for Advance Auto Parts in a research report issued to clients and investors on Friday, October 31st. Roth Capital analyst S. Stember now forecasts that the company will post earnings per share of $0.41 for the quarter, down from their previous estimate of $0.43. Roth Capital has a “Neutral” rating and a $55.00 price objective on the stock. The consensus estimate for Advance Auto Parts’ current full-year earnings is ($0.46) per share. Roth Capital also issued estimates for Advance Auto Parts’ Q1 2026 earnings at $0.43 EPS, Q2 2026 earnings at $0.66 EPS, Q3 2026 earnings at $0.80 EPS, Q4 2026 earnings at $0.66 EPS, FY2026 earnings at $2.55 EPS and FY2027 earnings at $3.90 EPS.

AAP has been the subject of several other research reports. Evercore ISI upped their price target on shares of Advance Auto Parts from $56.00 to $58.00 and gave the company an “in-line” rating in a report on Tuesday, August 12th. Wells Fargo & Company upped their price target on shares of Advance Auto Parts from $45.00 to $50.00 and gave the company an “equal weight” rating in a report on Friday, August 15th. BMO Capital Markets reiterated a “market perform” rating and issued a $55.00 price target on shares of Advance Auto Parts in a report on Friday. DA Davidson reduced their price target on shares of Advance Auto Parts from $63.00 to $55.00 and set a “neutral” rating for the company in a report on Friday. Finally, Truist Financial upped their price target on shares of Advance Auto Parts from $50.00 to $59.00 and gave the company a “hold” rating in a report on Thursday, October 30th. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a Buy rating, twenty have assigned a Hold rating and three have given a Sell rating to the company. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, the stock has a consensus rating of “Reduce” and an average target price of $51.78.

Advance Auto Parts Stock Up 1.7%

Advance Auto Parts stock opened at $48.21 on Monday. The stock has a market capitalization of $2.89 billion, a PE ratio of -7.57 and a beta of 1.08. Advance Auto Parts has a twelve month low of $28.89 and a twelve month high of $70.00. The company has a quick ratio of 0.49, a current ratio of 1.27 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.68. The company has a 50 day moving average of $57.59 and a 200-day moving average of $52.10.

Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP) last posted its earnings results on Thursday, October 30th. The company reported $0.92 earnings per share for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $0.74 by $0.18. The company had revenue of $2.04 billion for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $2.02 billion. Advance Auto Parts had a negative net margin of 4.37% and a negative return on equity of 1.97%. The business’s revenue for the quarter was down 5.2% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same period last year, the business posted ($0.04) earnings per share. Advance Auto Parts has set its FY 2025 guidance at 1.750-1.850 EPS.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

A number of hedge funds have recently added to or reduced their stakes in AAP. AMG National Trust Bank lifted its stake in Advance Auto Parts by 38.1% in the first quarter. AMG National Trust Bank now owns 43,615 shares of the company’s stock valued at $1,710,000 after acquiring an additional 12,040 shares during the last quarter. Gainplan LLC acquired a new stake in Advance Auto Parts in the second quarter valued at $700,000. Pzena Investment Management LLC lifted its stake in Advance Auto Parts by 1.9% in the second quarter. Pzena Investment Management LLC now owns 4,394,964 shares of the company’s stock valued at $204,322,000 after acquiring an additional 82,456 shares during the last quarter. Raymond James Financial Inc. lifted its stake in Advance Auto Parts by 13.0% in the first quarter. Raymond James Financial Inc. now owns 210,886 shares of the company’s stock valued at $8,269,000 after acquiring an additional 24,342 shares during the last quarter. Finally, Dimensional Fund Advisors LP lifted its stake in Advance Auto Parts by 0.5% in the first quarter. Dimensional Fund Advisors LP now owns 2,741,701 shares of the company’s stock valued at $107,500,000 after acquiring an additional 13,412 shares during the last quarter. Institutional investors own 88.70% of the company’s stock.

Advance Auto Parts Dividend Announcement

The firm also recently announced a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Friday, January 23rd. Investors of record on Friday, January 9th will be given a $0.25 dividend. The ex-dividend date of this dividend is Friday, January 9th. This represents a $1.00 dividend on an annualized basis and a yield of 2.1%. Advance Auto Parts’s dividend payout ratio (DPR) is -15.90%.

About Advance Auto Parts

Advance Auto Parts, Inc provides automotive replacement parts, accessories, batteries, and maintenance items for domestic and imported cars, vans, sport utility vehicles, and light and heavy duty trucks. The company offers battery accessories; belts and hoses; brakes and brake pads; chassis and climate control parts; clutches and drive shafts; engines and engine parts; exhaust systems and parts; hub assemblies; ignition components and wires; radiators and cooling parts; starters and alternators; and steering and alignment parts.