The Trump government’s decision to impose sanctions on countries that buy Iranian oil is increasing worries about global crude source and delivering oil prices since October.

Industry experts said Monday that the sanctions could potentially remove around 1.2 million barrels of petroleum per day from global markets. But that number will probably be lower, based on how nations respond and oil that is exactly how much Iran has been export.

President Donald Trump would like to eliminate all Iran’s revenue from petroleum exports, money he says capital destabilizing activity in the Middle East and everywhere.

“It is hard to envision all exports being cut off, particularly because China remains a major buyer of Iranian crude oil,” explained Jim Burkhard, vice president for petroleum markets at IHS Markit. “How China reacts will go quite a ways to shape precisely how much European exports are either trimmed or never.”

To compensate for its Iranian losses, the Saudi Arabia may increase production that the country had recently trimmed, but it”is going to use up all the spare capacity they have, or pretty darn close to it, and that is likely to leave economies feeling tight,” said Shin Kim, head of distribution and creation analytics in S&P Global Platts.

Oil prices climbed more than 2 percent Monday.

The purchase price of petrol in the U.S. was growing and the growth could raise prices further.

“We have seen that marketplace tighten up before the Iranian news, and we are also seeing a variety of refining issues in the U.S.,” said Ryan Fitzmaurice, energy strategist at Rabobank.

Rising oil — and gasoline — prices can squeeze consumers, whose spending accounts for around 70 percent of U.S. economical output. “They can take a bite out of consumers’ purchasing power,” said Scott Hoyt, senior director at Moody’s Analytics, at which he follows consumer economics.

But unless energy costs spike substantially higher, a lot faster, Hoyt said he does not expect them to do much damage to the economy. Employers are hiring, and the unemployment rate is near a five-decade low of 3.8%.

Rising costs are”coming at a time when customers are relatively well positioned to manage it,” he said. Wage growth is wholesome ” And costs at the pump aren’t up considerably over the last season: The AAA reports that U.S. gasoline prices average $2.84 per gallon, compared to $2.76 a gallon a year ago.


Paul Wiseman at Washington, D.C. contributed to this report.