Geo Group (NYSE:GEO) Updates Q4 2025 Earnings Guidance

Geo Group (NYSE:GEO) updated its fourth quarter 2025 earnings guidance on Thursday. The company provided EPS guidance of 0.230-0.270 for the period, compared to the consensus EPS estimate of 0.310. The company issued revenue guidance of $651.0 million-$676.0 million, compared to the consensus revenue estimate of $666.5 million. Geo Group also updated its FY 2025 guidance to 1.810-1.850 EPS.

Wall Street Analyst Weigh In

GEO has been the topic of several research reports. Jones Trading lowered their price objective on shares of Geo Group from $50.00 to $37.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research report on Friday. Wall Street Zen raised shares of Geo Group from a “hold” rating to a “buy” rating in a report on Saturday, October 11th. Finally, Weiss Ratings reissued a “hold (c-)” rating on shares of Geo Group in a report on Friday, October 31st. Three analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating and one has issued a Hold rating to the company’s stock. According to MarketBeat, the company has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and an average price target of $35.00.

Geo Group Stock Down 1.8%

Shares of Geo Group stock opened at $15.13 on Friday. Geo Group has a one year low of $14.27 and a one year high of $36.46. The company has a market cap of $2.14 billion, a P/E ratio of 23.27, a PEG ratio of 1.87 and a beta of 0.67. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.07, a quick ratio of 0.90 and a current ratio of 0.90. The firm has a fifty day moving average of $19.22 and a two-hundred day moving average of $23.23.

Geo Group (NYSE:GEO) last issued its quarterly earnings results on Wednesday, September 28th. The real estate investment trust reported $0.41 earnings per share (EPS) for the quarter. The business had revenue of $565.42 million for the quarter. Geo Group had a net margin of 3.69% and a return on equity of 7.26%. Geo Group has set its FY22 guidance at $2.40-2.46 EPS. On average, analysts forecast that Geo Group will post 0.83 earnings per share for the current year.

Geo Group declared that its Board of Directors has initiated a share repurchase program on Wednesday, August 6th that allows the company to buyback $300.00 million in shares. This buyback authorization allows the real estate investment trust to repurchase up to 8.2% of its shares through open market purchases. Shares buyback programs are often an indication that the company’s management believes its stock is undervalued.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

A number of institutional investors and hedge funds have recently bought and sold shares of the business. Geneos Wealth Management Inc. raised its position in Geo Group by 245.1% during the second quarter. Geneos Wealth Management Inc. now owns 1,101 shares of the real estate investment trust’s stock worth $26,000 after acquiring an additional 782 shares during the last quarter. NewEdge Advisors LLC increased its stake in shares of Geo Group by 81.9% during the 1st quarter. NewEdge Advisors LLC now owns 1,864 shares of the real estate investment trust’s stock worth $54,000 after purchasing an additional 839 shares in the last quarter. Militia Capital Partners LP raised its position in shares of Geo Group by 122.6% during the 2nd quarter. Militia Capital Partners LP now owns 6,900 shares of the real estate investment trust’s stock worth $165,000 after purchasing an additional 3,800 shares during the last quarter. United Services Automobile Association purchased a new stake in Geo Group in the 1st quarter valued at approximately $260,000. Finally, Alamea Verwaltungs GmbH lifted its stake in Geo Group by 107.4% in the 2nd quarter. Alamea Verwaltungs GmbH now owns 14,421 shares of the real estate investment trust’s stock valued at $345,000 after buying an additional 7,468 shares in the last quarter. Institutional investors and hedge funds own 76.10% of the company’s stock.

About Geo Group

The GEO Group, Inc (NYSE: GEO) engages in ownership, leasing, and management of secure facilities, processing centers, and community-based reentry facilities in the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, and South Africa. The company also provides secure facility management services, including the provision of security, administrative, rehabilitation, education, and food services; reentry services, such as temporary housing, programming, employment assistance, and other services; electronic monitoring and supervision services; and transportation services; as well as designs, constructs, and finances new facilities through projects.