Genius Sports (NYSE:GENI) Reaches New 1-Year Low Following Weak Earnings

Genius Sports Limited (NYSE:GENI)’s share price reached a new 52-week low during trading on Thursday following a weaker than expected earnings announcement. The stock traded as low as $5.60 and last traded at $5.9660, with a volume of 2335203 shares changing hands. The stock had previously closed at $6.04.

The company reported ($0.08) EPS for the quarter, missing the consensus estimate of $0.02 by ($0.10). The company had revenue of $240.50 million for the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $234.94 million. Genius Sports had a negative return on equity of 14.39% and a negative net margin of 19.71%.The business’s revenue for the quarter was up 37.0% on a year-over-year basis. During the same period last year, the company posted ($0.12) EPS.

Key Stories Impacting Genius Sports

Here are the key news stories impacting Genius Sports this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Revenue and EBITDA momentum — Genius reported sizable growth in 2025 (articles highlight ~31% revenue growth and a ~59% jump in EBITDA), which supports a path toward improved profitability. Genius Sports (GENI) Stock Rallies on 31% Revenue Surge and 59% EBITDA Jump in 2025
• Positive Sentiment: Revenue beat and upbeat FY2026 top-line guide — Q4 revenue of $240.5M topped estimates and management gave full-year revenue guidance of $810–$820M (slightly above consensus), which is a constructive signal for growth continuity. Genius Sports Reports Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Results
• Positive Sentiment: Commercial expansion into adtech and broadcast partners — new adtech deployments (e.g., Magnite, NBC Sports RSNs) broaden monetization channels and could lift ad revenue and yield over time. Genius Sports adds adtech deployments with Magnite, NBC Sports RSNs
• Neutral Sentiment: Full transcripts and slide deck available for diligence — management commentary (earnings call/transcript and slide deck) contains detail on margins, Legend acquisition rationale, and customer wins for investors wanting to dig deeper. Genius Sports (GENI) Q4 2025 Earnings Transcript
• Negative Sentiment: EPS miss and market reaction — GAAP EPS of ($0.08) missed the $0.02 consensus, triggering selling despite the revenue beat; that earnings miss is the primary short-term catalyst for the share decline. Genius Sports stock falls over 5% on earnings miss despite revenue beat
• Negative Sentiment: Continued net loss and weak margins — the company still reported a net loss and negative margins/ROE (net margin ~-19.7%, ROE negative), meaning profitability is not yet secured and earnings volatility will remain a risk. Genius Sports reports revenue gains, net loss in latest earnings
• Negative Sentiment: Acquisition uncertainty — the proposed Legend acquisition is dividing the Street, adding execution and integration risk that could weigh on the stock until clearer outcomes are visible. Genius Sports earnings loom as Legend acquisition divides Street

Analysts Set New Price Targets

GENI has been the subject of a number of research reports. Macquarie Infrastructure reissued an “outperform” rating and set a $15.00 price target on shares of Genius Sports in a research report on Wednesday, November 5th. Benchmark reaffirmed a “buy” rating on shares of Genius Sports in a research note on Friday, February 6th. B. Riley Financial reiterated a “buy” rating on shares of Genius Sports in a report on Friday, February 6th. Weiss Ratings reissued a “sell (d-)” rating on shares of Genius Sports in a research report on Monday, December 29th. Finally, Guggenheim reduced their price target on shares of Genius Sports from $17.00 to $12.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research report on Friday, February 6th. Three equities research analysts have rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, fourteen have given a Buy rating, two have given a Hold rating and one has assigned a Sell rating to the stock. Based on data from MarketBeat.com, the stock presently has an average rating of “Moderate Buy” and a consensus target price of $13.00.

Hedge Funds Weigh In On Genius Sports

Several institutional investors and hedge funds have recently made changes to their positions in the business. Uniplan Investment Counsel Inc. increased its stake in shares of Genius Sports by 31.7% in the fourth quarter. Uniplan Investment Counsel Inc. now owns 178,100 shares of the company’s stock worth $1,963,000 after buying an additional 42,895 shares during the last quarter. Numerai GP LLC grew its holdings in Genius Sports by 31.6% during the 4th quarter. Numerai GP LLC now owns 61,605 shares of the company’s stock worth $679,000 after acquiring an additional 14,798 shares in the last quarter. Occudo Quantitative Strategies LP increased its position in shares of Genius Sports by 70.5% in the 4th quarter. Occudo Quantitative Strategies LP now owns 135,621 shares of the company’s stock worth $1,495,000 after purchasing an additional 56,070 shares during the last quarter. Odyssean LLC acquired a new stake in shares of Genius Sports in the 4th quarter valued at about $770,000. Finally, Ophir Asset Management Pty Ltd raised its stake in shares of Genius Sports by 28.9% in the 4th quarter. Ophir Asset Management Pty Ltd now owns 3,771,695 shares of the company’s stock valued at $41,564,000 after purchasing an additional 844,661 shares in the last quarter. 81.91% of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

Genius Sports Price Performance

The firm has a market cap of $1.32 billion, a P/E ratio of -12.86 and a beta of 1.91. The firm’s 50-day moving average price is $8.46 and its 200 day moving average price is $10.46.

About Genius Sports

Genius Sports is a global sports technology company that specializes in collecting, analyzing and distributing real-time sports data and video streams. The firm provides official data feeds, live video streaming solutions and digital engagement tools to sports leagues, federations, broadcasters and betting operators. By integrating data directly from sporting events through its network of field officials and proprietary technology, Genius Sports ensures accuracy and integrity for partners who rely on up-to-the-second information.

The company’s product suite includes a cloud-based platform for data capture and distribution, an integrity services offering designed to identify and mitigate match-fixing risks, and a suite of commercial products that power odds creation, in-game betting markets and fan engagement experiences.