Geo Group (NYSE:GEO) Announces Earnings Results, Beats Expectations By $0.04 EPS

Geo Group (NYSE:GEO) issued its quarterly earnings results on Thursday. The real estate investment trust reported $0.39 EPS for the quarter, topping the consensus estimate of $0.35 by $0.04, FiscalAI reports. The firm had revenue of $761.06 million during the quarter, compared to analyst estimates of $770.87 million. Geo Group had a net margin of 10.31% and a return on equity of 10.42%. Geo Group’s revenue for the quarter was up 11.5% compared to the same quarter last year. During the same quarter in the prior year, the business posted $0.25 earnings per share.

Here are the key takeaways from Geo Group’s conference call:

• GEO reported record third-quarter revenue of $761.1 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $145.3 million, up 12% and 21% year over year, respectively. It raised its 2026 guidance and said it expects the fourth quarter to set another quarterly record.
• New and expanded ICE contracts are expected to add about $500 million in annual revenue once fully operational, including four facilities scheduled to activate in 2027. The company also cited potential upside from reactivating other idle beds and expanding services.
• GEO sold its Adelanto complex for $950 million and used proceeds to redeem $650 million of secured notes; management said net leverage is about 1x Adjusted EBITDA. It plans to prioritize share repurchases alongside debt reduction and is exploring sales of up to four more facilities, though no additional deals are assured.
• Electronic monitoring and supervision revenue increased 1.6% year over year, reversing a multiyear decline. Management pointed to growth in ISAP participation, ankle-monitor use and case-management services, while noting that the contract’s overall expansion has been slower than previously expected.

Geo Group Stock Up 10.6%

NYSE GEO traded up $2.68 on Friday, reaching $27.85. The company had a trading volume of 5,210,383 shares, compared to its average volume of 2,368,444. The firm has a market capitalization of $3.67 billion, a PE ratio of 22.28, a P/E/G ratio of 1.50 and a beta of 0.78. Geo Group has a 1 year low of $12.51 and a 1 year high of $33.17. The firm has a 50-day moving average of $30.03 and a 200-day moving average of $24.49. The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.00, a current ratio of 1.65 and a quick ratio of 1.65.

Insider Buying and Selling

In related news, VP Matthew Albence sold 11,797 shares of the firm’s stock in a transaction on Friday, September 11th. The shares were sold at an average price of $31.45, for a total transaction of $371,015.65. Following the completion of the sale, the vice president directly owned 87,602 shares of the company’s stock, valued at approximately $2,755,082.90. This trade represents a 11.87% decrease in their position. The transaction was disclosed in a document filed with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is accessible through this link. Also, insider Ronald A. Brack sold 7,000 shares of Geo Group stock in a transaction on Friday, August 21st. The stock was sold at an average price of $32.00, for a total transaction of $224,000.00. Following the sale, the insider directly owned 71,614 shares in the company, valued at $2,291,648. This trade represents a 8.90% decrease in their position. The SEC filing for this sale provides additional information. Insiders have sold 28,797 shares of company stock worth $911,916 in the last quarter. Insiders own 4.98% of the company’s stock.

Analyst Ratings Changes

Several analysts have recently issued reports on GEO shares. Wall Street Zen cut shares of Geo Group from a “buy” rating to a “hold” rating in a research note on Saturday, July 25th. JonesTrading increased their target price on Geo Group from $40.00 to $42.75 and gave the stock a “buy” rating in a research report on Thursday. Weiss Ratings reaffirmed a “hold (c+)” rating on shares of Geo Group in a research note on Friday, September 4th. Zacks Research upgraded shares of Geo Group from a “hold” rating to a “strong-buy” rating in a report on Monday, July 20th. Finally, Noble Financial reaffirmed an “outperform” rating on shares of Geo Group in a research report on Monday, August 10th. One investment analyst has rated the stock with a Strong Buy rating, four have issued a Buy rating and one has given a Hold rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat, Geo Group presently has an average rating of “Buy” and an average price target of $41.38.

Key Headlines Impacting Geo Group

Here are the key news stories impacting Geo Group this week:

• Positive Sentiment: GEO reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $0.39, ahead of the $0.35 consensus and up from $0.25 a year earlier. Revenue grew 11.5% year over year to $761.1 million. Article: GEO Group Surpasses Q3 Earnings Estimates
• Positive Sentiment: Management forecast Q4 revenue of $777 million–$827 million and adjusted EBITDA of $149 million–$154 million, citing increased ICE activations—supporting expectations that government demand can drive further growth. Article: GEO Forecasts Q4 Revenue and EBITDA
• Positive Sentiment: JonesTrading raised its price target to $42.75 from $40 and maintained a Buy rating, signaling increased analyst optimism. JonesTrading Recommendations
• Negative Sentiment: Q3 revenue of $761.1 million missed the approximately $770.9 million analyst estimate. This shortfall may offset some of the positive impact of the EPS beat. Article: GEO Group Misses Q3 Revenue Estimates
• Negative Sentiment: GEO’s reliance on ICE and government contracts leaves it exposed to potential policy shifts; a pre-election report highlighted political uncertainty as a risk for private-prison operators. Article: Political Risks for GEO Group and CoreCivic

About Geo Group

The GEO Group, Inc (NYSE: GEO) is a provider of correctional, detention and community-based services. The company develops and operates secure facilities for government agencies, offering services that can include facility management, housing, transportation, food services, medical care, education and rehabilitation programs.

GEO also provides reentry and community-based services designed to support individuals transitioning from incarceration. Through its electronic monitoring and supervision offerings, the company assists government and law-enforcement agencies with alternatives to secure detention, including GPS monitoring, case management and other post-release support services.

Founded in 1984 as Wackenhut Corrections Corporation, the company adopted the name The GEO Group in 2003.