Zacks Research Has Negative Forecast for Mosaic Q1 Earnings

The Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS) – Analysts at Zacks Research dropped their Q1 2026 EPS estimates for Mosaic in a research report issued on Monday, March 9th. Zacks Research analyst Team now expects that the basic materials company will post earnings of $0.22 per share for the quarter, down from their previous forecast of $0.75. Zacks Research currently has a “Hold” rating on the stock. The consensus estimate for Mosaic’s current full-year earnings is $2.04 per share. Zacks Research also issued estimates for Mosaic’s Q2 2026 earnings at $0.26 EPS, FY2026 earnings at $1.53 EPS, Q1 2027 earnings at $0.39 EPS, Q2 2027 earnings at $0.62 EPS, Q4 2027 earnings at $0.64 EPS and FY2027 earnings at $2.34 EPS.

A number of other equities research analysts also recently issued reports on MOS. Scotiabank lowered their price target on Mosaic from $36.00 to $35.00 and set a “sector outperform” rating for the company in a research report on Monday, March 2nd. JPMorgan Chase & Co. cut shares of Mosaic from a “neutral” rating to an “underweight” rating and set a $24.00 price objective for the company. in a research report on Thursday, February 26th. Bank of America dropped their target price on Mosaic from $39.00 to $33.00 and set a “buy” rating on the stock in a research report on Thursday, January 8th. Barclays restated an “equal weight” rating and set a $31.00 price objective on shares of Mosaic in a research note on Tuesday, March 3rd. Finally, Oppenheimer set a $35.00 target price on Mosaic in a research note on Friday, January 16th. Six analysts have rated the stock with a Buy rating, ten have given a Hold rating and two have given a Sell rating to the company’s stock. According to data from MarketBeat, Mosaic presently has an average rating of “Hold” and a consensus target price of $30.94.

Mosaic Trading Down 1.7%

Shares of MOS stock opened at $26.46 on Wednesday. The firm has a 50-day moving average price of $27.55 and a 200 day moving average price of $28.42. The company has a current ratio of 1.32, a quick ratio of 0.47 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35. The company has a market capitalization of $8.40 billion, a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.66, a PEG ratio of 1.57 and a beta of 0.95. Mosaic has a twelve month low of $22.36 and a twelve month high of $38.23.

Mosaic (NYSE:MOS) last released its quarterly earnings data on Tuesday, February 24th. The basic materials company reported $0.22 EPS for the quarter, missing analysts’ consensus estimates of $0.48 by ($0.26). Mosaic had a return on equity of 5.80% and a net margin of 4.49%.The company had revenue of $2.97 billion for the quarter, compared to analysts’ expectations of $3.02 billion. During the same period in the prior year, the firm posted $0.45 EPS. The firm’s quarterly revenue was up 5.6% on a year-over-year basis.

Mosaic Dividend Announcement

The firm also recently disclosed a quarterly dividend, which will be paid on Tuesday, June 2nd. Shareholders of record on Thursday, May 21st will be issued a $0.22 dividend. This represents a $0.88 dividend on an annualized basis and a yield of 3.3%. The ex-dividend date of this dividend is Thursday, May 21st. Mosaic’s payout ratio is currently 52.07%.

Institutional Inflows and Outflows

A number of large investors have recently modified their holdings of MOS. AQR Capital Management LLC raised its stake in Mosaic by 632.6% during the third quarter. AQR Capital Management LLC now owns 8,447,324 shares of the basic materials company’s stock worth $291,348,000 after acquiring an additional 7,294,205 shares during the period. Norges Bank acquired a new stake in shares of Mosaic in the 2nd quarter worth approximately $158,085,000. Bank of New York Mellon Corp raised its stake in shares of Mosaic by 102.3% in the 3rd quarter. Bank of New York Mellon Corp now owns 7,701,610 shares of the basic materials company’s stock worth $267,092,000 after buying an additional 3,894,947 shares in the last quarter. Invesco Ltd. boosted its position in shares of Mosaic by 28.9% during the 4th quarter. Invesco Ltd. now owns 11,840,398 shares of the basic materials company’s stock valued at $285,235,000 after purchasing an additional 2,653,969 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Merewether Investment Management LP bought a new stake in Mosaic during the second quarter worth approximately $72,380,000. 77.54% of the stock is currently owned by institutional investors.

Key Stories Impacting Mosaic

Here are the key news stories impacting Mosaic this week:

• Positive Sentiment: Mosaic and Rainbow Rare Earths signed a joint development agreement and completed a favorable preliminary economic assessment for the Uberaba rare‑earths project in Minas Gerais, Brazil — a move that diversifies Mosaic’s portfolio into critical‑minerals (potential long‑term revenue/upside if PFS/DFS are positive). Uberaba Rare Earths Project
• Positive Sentiment: Zacks raised Mosaic’s FY2027 EPS view to $2.34 (from $1.89) and increased several 2027 quarter estimates (e.g., Q2 and Q4 2027), implying stronger expected earnings recovery in 2027 versus 2026.
• Neutral Sentiment: Market commentary and industry pieces (Seeking Alpha, InvestorPlace) continue to profile Mosaic as a leading fertilizer producer amid macro commodity and geopolitical headlines; these pieces can drive attention but don’t change fundamentals immediately. Fertilizers In The Spotlight
• Negative Sentiment: Zacks materially lowered near‑term 2026 estimates: FY2026 cut to $1.53 from $2.46, Q1 2026 to $0.22 (from $0.75), Q2 2026 to $0.26 (from $0.44) and other 2026 quarters trimmed — signaling weaker near‑term profitability and pressuring the stock.
• Negative Sentiment: Zacks also trimmed several 2026 quarter estimates (Q3/Q4 2026) and reduced Q1 2027 from $0.59 to $0.39, leaving the firm with a “Hold” rating — mixed estimate revisions plus a non‑buy rating weigh on investor sentiment.

Mosaic Company Profile

Mosaic Co is one of the world’s leading producers and marketers of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. The company’s primary business activities center on the extraction, processing and distribution of phosphate rock, phosphate-based fertilizers and potash products. These core nutrients are essential components in modern agriculture, supporting crop yields and soil health across a range of farming applications.

In its phosphate segment, Mosaic operates mining and production facilities that convert phosphate rock into concentrated phosphates, finished phosphate fertilizers and feed phosphates for animal nutrition.